Number of Republicans and Democrats in Us House of Representatives
Pennsylvania was typical of those states where Republicans benefited in 2012 from the decennial redrawing of congressional district lines. Democratic candidates drew more than half of the total votes cast statewide for the U.S. House concluding fall, merely Republicans won nearly three–quarters (13 of 18) of Pennsylvania's congressional seats. The GOP–controlled land regime approved a map that packed Democratic votes into the five districts that they carried, where the party's candidates posted winning percentages ranging from lx% to 89% of the total vote. Meanwhile, the Republican vote was spread more broadly, with nine of the GOP winners drawing less than 60% of the vote in their districts.
Source: Rhodes–Melt Letter, Feb. 2013
How to: This table shows the GOP and Democratic victories in Pennsylvania by how much of the vote the winning candidates won. Vote percentages are based on total votes cast.
Use the Race Competitiveness tool to wait at House winners with various vote ranges from 1968 to 2010. Y'all can also choose other offices.
Document Outline
Republicans Win Fewer Votes, but More Seats than Democrats
Republicans Win Fewer Votes, but More Seats than Democrats
Republicans controlled the mail service–2010 redistricting procedure in the 4 states, and drew new lines that helped the GOP win the bulk of the House delegation in each. Republicans captured xiii of eighteen seats in Pennsylvania, 12 of 16 in Ohio, 9 of 14 in Michigan, and 5 of eight in Wisconsin. Added together, that was 39 seats for the Republicans and 17 seats for the Democrats in the four pro–Obama states.
The key to GOP congressional success was to cluster the Democratic vote into a handful of districts, while spreading out the Republican vote elsewhere. In Pennsylvania, for case, Republicans won ix of their 13 House seats with less than threescore% of the vote, while Democrats carried three of their five with more than 75%.
1 of the latter was the Philadelphia–based 2nd Commune, where 356,386 votes for Congress were tallied. Not only was it the highest number of ballots bandage in whatever district in the land, but Autonomous Rep. Chaka Fattah won 318,176 of the votes. It was the largest number received by any House candidate in the state in 2012, Democrat or Republican. If some of these Democratic votes had been "unclustered" and distributed to other districts nearby, the party might have won a couple more seats in the Philadelphia surface area alone.
Equally it was, Democrats scored a moral victory of sorts by winning the aggregate nationwide House vote by nearly 1.4 1000000. Ordinarily, it is a number that does non have much currency, a matter of interest only to academics and political mavens. But in 2012, the Democrats' "popular vote" victory in the House balloting helped to undermine the contention of congressional Republicans their majority was equally much a mandate as President Obama's 5–meg vote, 26– state, 332–balloter vote reelection victory.
The challenge at present for House Democrats is to turn moral victories into actual triumphs. It will non be easy. The Republicans head toward 2022 offering footling in the way of "low hanging fruit." Merely 15 Firm Republicans are in hostile terrain, representing districts that likewise voted for Obama last autumn. And few GOP representatives give the appearance of balloter weakness, as simply a dozen were elected in 2012 past a margin of less than 5 per centum points.
The listing includes erstwhile Republican presidential candidate, Michele Bachmann, who won reelection in her Minnesota commune last autumn by a margin of barely 1 percent point. It was her narrowest congressional victory since she offset won the seat in 2006. But few other Republican winners in 2012 were so hard pressed equally Bachmann. Democrats would need a strong wind at their back to score a breakthrough in the House anytime soon, an unlikely occurrence for the party of the president in a midterm ballot. More probable, little will happen in 2022 to disturb the Republicans' title as "the congressional political party."
If Democrats in 2022 could just win the dozen House seats that they lost concluding autumn by a margin of less than five percentage points, they would exist on the verge of a House bulk. On the other mitt, the GOP has plenty of targets of their ain, with Democrats holding 17 House seats that they carried in 2012 by less than 5 points.
The Closest House Races of 2012
NARROW DEMOCRATIC WINNERS
| Winner | Winner'south Status in '12 | % of Vote | Victory Margin (in % points) | |
| Mike McIntyre | (D-N.C. 7) | Incumbent | 50.ane% | 0.2% |
| Jim Matheson | (D-Utah iv) | Incumbent | 48.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Murphy | (D-Fla. 18) | Challenger | 50.iii% | 0.6% |
| Ron Barber | (D-Ariz. ii) | Incumbent | 50.4% | 0.eight% |
| Brad Schneider | (D-Ill. 10) | Challenger | 50.6% | 1.two% |
| John Tierney | (D-Mass. 6) | Incumbent | 48.three% | 1.2% |
| Bill Owens | (D-N.Y. 21) | Incumbent | 50.one% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Esty | (D-Conn. 5) | Open Seat | 51.3% | 2.6% |
| Ami Bera | (D-Calif. 7) | Challenger | 51.7% | three.4% |
| Scott Peters | (D-Calif. 52) | Challenger | 51.ii% | 3.iv% |
| Ann Kirkpatrick | (D-Ariz. 1) | Open Seat | 48.8% | iii.seven% |
| Carol Shea-Porter | (D-N.H. i) | Challenger | 49.8% | 3.8% |
| Sean Maloney | (D-N.Y. 18) | Challenger | 51.ix% | iii.9% |
| Krysten Sinema | (D-Ariz. 9) | Open Seat | 48.seven% | iv.1% |
| Pete Gallego | (D-Texas 23) | Challenger | 50.3% | 4.vii% |
| Ann Kuster | (D-N.H. 2) | Challenger | fifty.ii% | four.ix% |
| Tim Bishop | (D-N.Y. 1) | Incumbent | 52.4% | 4.nine% |
| Source: Based on official results posted on the web sites of state election authorities. | ||||
NARROW REPUBLICAN WINNERS
| Winner | Winner'due south Status in '12 | % of Vote | Victory Margin (in % points) | |
| Rodney Davis | (R-Ill. 13) | Open Seat | 46.5% | 0.3% |
| Dan Benishek | (R-Mich. i) | Incumbent | 48.1% | 0.5% |
| Michele Bachmann | (R-Minn. six) | Incumbent | 50.5% | 1.two% |
| Jackie Walorski | (R-Ind. 2) | Open up Seat | 49.0% | ane.4% |
| Lee Terry | (R-Pecker. 2) | Incumbent | l.8% | 1.6% |
| Chris Collins | (R-Northward.Y. 27) | Challenger | 50.8% | i.six% |
| Mike Coffman | (R-Colo. half-dozen) | Incumbent | 47.8% | two.0% |
| Daniel Webster | (R-Fla. ten) | Incumbent | 51.vii% | 3.four% |
| Keith Rothfus | (R-Pa. 12) | Challenger | 51.7% | iii.iv% |
| Thomas Reed | (R-Due north.Y. 23) | Incumbent | 51.nine% | 3.8% |
| Andy Barr | (R-Ky. 6) | Challenger | 50.6 | 3.nine% |
| Jim Renacci | (R-Ohio 16) | Incumbent | 52.0% | 4.0% |
| Source: Based on official results posted on the web sites of state election authorities. | ||||
Document Citation
Cook, R. (2013). Republicans win fewer votes, but more seats than Democrats. http://library.cqpress.com/elections
Document ID: rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
Certificate URL: http://library.cqpress.com/elections/rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
Source: https://library.cqpress.com/elections/document.php?id=rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
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